13th December
Quel Ballistic 11/4 General 2 pt win
Should really appreciate the step up in trip, and with there looking to be plenty of pace in today's race, it could well be that the toughest horse with the most stamina will take the prize.
Quel Ballistic looks to have both those attributes and should take plenty of beating for his inform stable.
Tuesday 13 December 2011
Tuesday 6 December 2011
Thursday 1 December 2011
3 Bets today:
2.10 Wincanton Tarquinius 2 pt 6/1 General
Returning from a break of 638 days would be enough to put most people off, but Charlie Mann is more than capable of getting one ready from a long lay off.
Tarquinius looked quite promising 2 years ago, before injury struck. 2 runs back he finished second off a mark of 119 in a better race than the one he contests today. If he is fit enough he should go well.
2.45 Wincanton Dineur 2pt 11/2 General
Shaped well on his return from a break last time, and could be well handicapped off a mark of 114 on his first run in a handicap.
I think Wincanton will suit his running style, and with his stable in decent form, should go well in a competitive little race.
3.00 Market Rasen - Causing Chaos 2pt 100/30 General
Travelled like a horse ahead of his mark last time when failing to get home at Towcester. A horse with plenty of scope to improve and dropped back 2 furlongs in trip, should go very well. I would rate him our best bet of the day.
2.10 Wincanton Tarquinius 2 pt 6/1 General
Returning from a break of 638 days would be enough to put most people off, but Charlie Mann is more than capable of getting one ready from a long lay off.
Tarquinius looked quite promising 2 years ago, before injury struck. 2 runs back he finished second off a mark of 119 in a better race than the one he contests today. If he is fit enough he should go well.
2.45 Wincanton Dineur 2pt 11/2 General
Shaped well on his return from a break last time, and could be well handicapped off a mark of 114 on his first run in a handicap.
I think Wincanton will suit his running style, and with his stable in decent form, should go well in a competitive little race.
3.00 Market Rasen - Causing Chaos 2pt 100/30 General
Travelled like a horse ahead of his mark last time when failing to get home at Towcester. A horse with plenty of scope to improve and dropped back 2 furlongs in trip, should go very well. I would rate him our best bet of the day.
Wednesday 30 November 2011
2 bets today.
2.40 Uttoxeter Trafalgar 2pt 9/2 General
An initial handicap rating of 111 looks to underestimate Trafalgar. He has shaped well in his 2 novice hurdle runs so far, and with Willie Twiston Davies taking off another 7 lbs he could win this easily today. The opposition don't look great and 9/2 looks too big.
2.50 Hereford Hellfire Club 2pt 9/2 General
Was well backed on his return to action at Lingfield on his first run for over a year last time. This implied that he was not only regarded to be in decent nick, but also well handicapped off a mark of 110. As it happened he didn't jump well enough to prove whether that assessment of him was correct, but if he jumps better today he may prove that to be the case today. The Hereford fences are some of the softest in the country, and today's race won't take much winning. I'm not convinced that the drop in trip will suit Bradford Boris, and Wester Ross won a weak race last time, and has it all to do under 12 stone 3.
2.40 Uttoxeter Trafalgar 2pt 9/2 General
An initial handicap rating of 111 looks to underestimate Trafalgar. He has shaped well in his 2 novice hurdle runs so far, and with Willie Twiston Davies taking off another 7 lbs he could win this easily today. The opposition don't look great and 9/2 looks too big.
2.50 Hereford Hellfire Club 2pt 9/2 General
Was well backed on his return to action at Lingfield on his first run for over a year last time. This implied that he was not only regarded to be in decent nick, but also well handicapped off a mark of 110. As it happened he didn't jump well enough to prove whether that assessment of him was correct, but if he jumps better today he may prove that to be the case today. The Hereford fences are some of the softest in the country, and today's race won't take much winning. I'm not convinced that the drop in trip will suit Bradford Boris, and Wester Ross won a weak race last time, and has it all to do under 12 stone 3.
Friday 25 November 2011
2 Bets today
2.25 Musselburgh - Vosges 100/30 general 2pt win
Despite being only 4, looks more like a chaser than a hurdler already. He shaped well on his return to action last time, and with the drop in trip looking likely to suit, and his stable in decent form is worth backing in a weakish looking event.
2.45 Newbury - Sivola de sivola 6/1 general 2pt win
Looks well over priced at a general 6/1 this morning.
He has always been highly regarded by Tom George, and has placed him accordingly. Today he takes a drop in class, and looks very well handicapped on his form against some decent novices. He is bred to appreciate the step up in trip and is a strong fancy despite this being a competitive looking handicap on paper.
2.25 Musselburgh - Vosges 100/30 general 2pt win
Despite being only 4, looks more like a chaser than a hurdler already. He shaped well on his return to action last time, and with the drop in trip looking likely to suit, and his stable in decent form is worth backing in a weakish looking event.
2.45 Newbury - Sivola de sivola 6/1 general 2pt win
Looks well over priced at a general 6/1 this morning.
He has always been highly regarded by Tom George, and has placed him accordingly. Today he takes a drop in class, and looks very well handicapped on his form against some decent novices. He is bred to appreciate the step up in trip and is a strong fancy despite this being a competitive looking handicap on paper.
Thursday 24 November 2011
1 selection today
2.45 Newbury - Zarrafakt 2pt 6/1 General
Is an interesting runner today. He has won first time out in each of the last 3 seasons, after which he has lost his way.
First time up last year he bolted in at Folkestone, achieving a RP rating of 135 in the process, a reproduction of that performance today would see him go very well. With the stable in decent form he is worth backing at 6/1.
2.45 Newbury - Zarrafakt 2pt 6/1 General
Is an interesting runner today. He has won first time out in each of the last 3 seasons, after which he has lost his way.
First time up last year he bolted in at Folkestone, achieving a RP rating of 135 in the process, a reproduction of that performance today would see him go very well. With the stable in decent form he is worth backing at 6/1.
Saturday 19 November 2011
A decent days racing, but as far as we are concerned, only 1 decent betting opportunity.
1.45 Huntingdon - Risaala 5/1 Lads. 9/2 general 2pt
With doubts about all of the opposition today, Risaala represents a decent bet having fallen from an initial handicap mark of 124 to the 119 that she is off today. This also a drop in class for her, and with conditions ideal I would have made her more of a 5/2 shot than the 9/2 that is currently available.
1.45 Huntingdon - Risaala 5/1 Lads. 9/2 general 2pt
With doubts about all of the opposition today, Risaala represents a decent bet having fallen from an initial handicap mark of 124 to the 119 that she is off today. This also a drop in class for her, and with conditions ideal I would have made her more of a 5/2 shot than the 9/2 that is currently available.
Friday 18 November 2011
4 selections today
2.45 Ascot Piraya 2 pt 8/1 Ladbrokes
Was at his best during this time last year, and with his stable going well he could be extremely well handicapped if anywhere near his best.
3.20 Ascot Ballycarney 2pt 10/1 Ladbrokes
Progressive last year, and shaped reasonably well on his return to action last time. I want to take the favourite on, as I would do with any 10 year old off a career high mark. 10/1 looks too big .
3.55 Ascot Featherbed Lane 2pt 5/1 general
With all due respect to Anabel Murphy, I would expect this horse to improve this year for the switch to the Phillip Hobbs yard. The favourite is well handicapped on his performance at Cheltenham last week, but conditions are totally different today and he is plenty short enough at 6/4. With the exception of Pantxoa, the rest of the opposition look moderate.
4.35 Kempton Blue Deer 2pt 12/1 general
Made all to win a handicap off this mark earlier in the year for Mick Channon. Has had an "interesting" ride on all 3 runs for his current connections. Now back down in grade, off a mark we know he can win off, I would not be surprised to see him sit closer to the early pace and go very well today.
2.45 Ascot Piraya 2 pt 8/1 Ladbrokes
Was at his best during this time last year, and with his stable going well he could be extremely well handicapped if anywhere near his best.
3.20 Ascot Ballycarney 2pt 10/1 Ladbrokes
Progressive last year, and shaped reasonably well on his return to action last time. I want to take the favourite on, as I would do with any 10 year old off a career high mark. 10/1 looks too big .
3.55 Ascot Featherbed Lane 2pt 5/1 general
With all due respect to Anabel Murphy, I would expect this horse to improve this year for the switch to the Phillip Hobbs yard. The favourite is well handicapped on his performance at Cheltenham last week, but conditions are totally different today and he is plenty short enough at 6/4. With the exception of Pantxoa, the rest of the opposition look moderate.
4.35 Kempton Blue Deer 2pt 12/1 general
Made all to win a handicap off this mark earlier in the year for Mick Channon. Has had an "interesting" ride on all 3 runs for his current connections. Now back down in grade, off a mark we know he can win off, I would not be surprised to see him sit closer to the early pace and go very well today.
Tuesday 1 November 2011
Just the one bet today
3.40 Redcar The Galloping Shoe 1pt 12/1 General
Is very well handicapped on his form at the start of the summer. He finished 3rd in a decent York handicap off a mark of 82 and runs today in a moderate handicap off 70. He shaped well last time over hurdles when travelling like the best handicapped horse off his hurdle rating of 110, a reproduction off that effort returned to the flat should see him go close. 12/1 is too big a price.
3.40 Redcar The Galloping Shoe 1pt 12/1 General
Is very well handicapped on his form at the start of the summer. He finished 3rd in a decent York handicap off a mark of 82 and runs today in a moderate handicap off 70. He shaped well last time over hurdles when travelling like the best handicapped horse off his hurdle rating of 110, a reproduction off that effort returned to the flat should see him go close. 12/1 is too big a price.
Monday 31 October 2011
Saturday 29 October 2011
Just the one bet today.
2.55 Ayr Highkingofireland 1pt 10 general
Is worth chancing at a double figure price. He didn't show a great deal on his return to action at Haydock last time, but a reproduction of his performance when finishing 2nd at Nottingham last year, should be good enough to take this.
He has his ideal conditions today, and with his stable in decent form is worth backing to win what looks a pretty weak race.
2.55 Ayr Highkingofireland 1pt 10 general
Is worth chancing at a double figure price. He didn't show a great deal on his return to action at Haydock last time, but a reproduction of his performance when finishing 2nd at Nottingham last year, should be good enough to take this.
He has his ideal conditions today, and with his stable in decent form is worth backing to win what looks a pretty weak race.
Friday 28 October 2011
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With the month drawing to a close and our betting service showing a remarkable 120% profit on investment so far, our attentions are turned to the jumps action today.
3.20 Weth. Phillippides 1pt. 8/1 Hills
I always thought Phillippides would make a better chaser than hurdler, and he still has plenty of time on his side to prove that to be the case, which means that his current chase mark of 136 could be lenient
He was deemed good enough to contest the grade 1 novices stayers hurdle at Aintree in 2010, but didn't stay. Last season he showed a great deal of promise in his first 2 novice chases, before disappointing in his next 2 runs. With his stable in excellent from and conditions looking perfect, 8/1 could under estimate his chances if returning in decent heart.
4.30 Weth. Ngong Hills 1pt. 13/2 General
The favourite, Wide Receiver was very impressive when winning last time, but is up in class today and has gone up a whopping 20lbs since that run. He could well win again, but we are going to take a chance with Ngong Hills, at 13/2.
He shaped last time at Carlisle that there are still races in him at the age of 10. Today he returns to Wetherby where he has an unbeaten 3 race record. Off a mark of 96, he should go very well and represents decent value at 13/2.
4.55 Uttox. Master Somerville 0.5pt 10/1 general
A slightly speculative selection, but fits a very similar profile to the stables Wessex King, who won at Stratford last weekend. Both horses lost their way last year, and as a result start this season on very tempting marks.
Wessex King won first time out, and with Master Somerville having form under these conditions and Richard Johnson on board he could go very well if fit enough today.
He has won off 108 in the past, so is worth chancing at 10/1 off a mark of 101.
3.20 Weth. Phillippides 1pt. 8/1 Hills
I always thought Phillippides would make a better chaser than hurdler, and he still has plenty of time on his side to prove that to be the case, which means that his current chase mark of 136 could be lenient
He was deemed good enough to contest the grade 1 novices stayers hurdle at Aintree in 2010, but didn't stay. Last season he showed a great deal of promise in his first 2 novice chases, before disappointing in his next 2 runs. With his stable in excellent from and conditions looking perfect, 8/1 could under estimate his chances if returning in decent heart.
4.30 Weth. Ngong Hills 1pt. 13/2 General
The favourite, Wide Receiver was very impressive when winning last time, but is up in class today and has gone up a whopping 20lbs since that run. He could well win again, but we are going to take a chance with Ngong Hills, at 13/2.
He shaped last time at Carlisle that there are still races in him at the age of 10. Today he returns to Wetherby where he has an unbeaten 3 race record. Off a mark of 96, he should go very well and represents decent value at 13/2.
4.55 Uttox. Master Somerville 0.5pt 10/1 general
A slightly speculative selection, but fits a very similar profile to the stables Wessex King, who won at Stratford last weekend. Both horses lost their way last year, and as a result start this season on very tempting marks.
Wessex King won first time out, and with Master Somerville having form under these conditions and Richard Johnson on board he could go very well if fit enough today.
He has won off 108 in the past, so is worth chancing at 10/1 off a mark of 101.
Thursday 27 October 2011
Plenty of betting angles on the sand today.
310 Ling Call To Reason 1 pt 3/1 general
Has been a filly that has been hard to keep sound, but put up a very good performance last time when finishing behind a Gosden hot pot at Haydock.
If she can match that performance today she will win. She had several engagements this week, including a listed race at Newmarket. Potentially she has at least a stone in hand off her mark of 86, and providing she gets a clear run though, should outclass her opponents today
4.40 Ling. Kiss A Prince 0.5 pt 12/1
Is well handicapped returned to his optimum conditions, if the blinkers spark him back to life.
He has been below par of late, but I'm hopeful that being berthed in stall 1, and ridden by Shane Kelly who is good as anyone on a hold up horses at Lingfield, could see him go close today. 12/1 is too big if he is back on song.
8.30 Kemp. Naheel 0.5 10/1
Could well bomb out today given his inconsistent profile. But he is worth chancing at 10/1 this morning.
Inconsistent horses are often best when fresh, as Naheel demonstrated when winning at 40/1 at Wolverhampton at this time last year. He won on his next run but then his from tailed off dramatically, as a result he is now nicely handicapped again. Drawn is stall 1 with De Sousa on board, he could well bounce back to form tonight.
310 Ling Call To Reason 1 pt 3/1 general
Has been a filly that has been hard to keep sound, but put up a very good performance last time when finishing behind a Gosden hot pot at Haydock.
If she can match that performance today she will win. She had several engagements this week, including a listed race at Newmarket. Potentially she has at least a stone in hand off her mark of 86, and providing she gets a clear run though, should outclass her opponents today
4.40 Ling. Kiss A Prince 0.5 pt 12/1
Is well handicapped returned to his optimum conditions, if the blinkers spark him back to life.
He has been below par of late, but I'm hopeful that being berthed in stall 1, and ridden by Shane Kelly who is good as anyone on a hold up horses at Lingfield, could see him go close today. 12/1 is too big if he is back on song.
8.30 Kemp. Naheel 0.5 10/1
Could well bomb out today given his inconsistent profile. But he is worth chancing at 10/1 this morning.
Inconsistent horses are often best when fresh, as Naheel demonstrated when winning at 40/1 at Wolverhampton at this time last year. He won on his next run but then his from tailed off dramatically, as a result he is now nicely handicapped again. Drawn is stall 1 with De Sousa on board, he could well bounce back to form tonight.
Wednesday 26 October 2011
3.50 Musselburgh 1pt Lexington Bay 11/4 Lads, S.Odds
I'm surprised that Ladbrokes are taking this one on today. If I was a layer I would be looking to duck him. He is improving rapidly, should appreciate the step up to 2 miles and the opposition look modest.
I wouldn't be surprised to see the selection go off at around 15/8 so at 11/4 this morning he certainly represents value.
I'm surprised that Ladbrokes are taking this one on today. If I was a layer I would be looking to duck him. He is improving rapidly, should appreciate the step up to 2 miles and the opposition look modest.
I wouldn't be surprised to see the selection go off at around 15/8 so at 11/4 this morning he certainly represents value.
Tuesday 25 October 2011
Monday 24 October 2011
3.30 Leicester Little Curtsey 1pt. 100/30
Did well to finish as close as she did last time, having been held up off a steady pace. The step up to 8 furlongs looks sure to suit and she holds leading claims in a modest race.
4.40 Redcar Henry Morgan 1pt 7/1
Is open to plenty of improvement as a sprinter having just had 6 runs so far. Shaped like he very much needed the run last time having come back from a 5 month break. His form when winning at Hamilton last summer is the best piece of form in the race, and if he comes on for his last run, he should go very well today.
Did well to finish as close as she did last time, having been held up off a steady pace. The step up to 8 furlongs looks sure to suit and she holds leading claims in a modest race.
4.40 Redcar Henry Morgan 1pt 7/1
Is open to plenty of improvement as a sprinter having just had 6 runs so far. Shaped like he very much needed the run last time having come back from a 5 month break. His form when winning at Hamilton last summer is the best piece of form in the race, and if he comes on for his last run, he should go very well today.
Saturday 22 October 2011
4.15 Chepstow - Shoegazer 0.5 point at 12/1 or bigger 14/1 b365 and boyle
Was well fancied for the Martin Pipe handicap hurdle at the Cheltenham festival, and travelled like a horse well ahead of his mark before failing to come up the hill. There is a possibility that he has a breathing problem, which is endorsed by the fact that he wears a tongue tie and his best form to date is on flat tracks. I would be amazed if he hasn't had a breathing op over the summer, and with this being a race that the stable has a decent record in over the years, I wouldn't be at all surprised to see him go well, and anything bigger than 10/1 is worth a small wager.
Was well fancied for the Martin Pipe handicap hurdle at the Cheltenham festival, and travelled like a horse well ahead of his mark before failing to come up the hill. There is a possibility that he has a breathing problem, which is endorsed by the fact that he wears a tongue tie and his best form to date is on flat tracks. I would be amazed if he hasn't had a breathing op over the summer, and with this being a race that the stable has a decent record in over the years, I wouldn't be at all surprised to see him go well, and anything bigger than 10/1 is worth a small wager.
Friday 21 October 2011
Thursday 20 October 2011
3.25 Carlisle - Amir Pasha, 1pt 15/2 Hills
Won at this meeting last year, and followed that up with another decent effort next time out off a mark of 107. So on his return to hurdling today, he is entitled to go very close off a mark of 106.
Over the summer he has shown a consistent level of form on the flat, albeit at a lowly level, but today's race won't take much winning, and with form and fitness being 2 key components at this time of year, Amir Pasha represented a bet at 7/1 or bigger this morning.
Won at this meeting last year, and followed that up with another decent effort next time out off a mark of 107. So on his return to hurdling today, he is entitled to go very close off a mark of 106.
Over the summer he has shown a consistent level of form on the flat, albeit at a lowly level, but today's race won't take much winning, and with form and fitness being 2 key components at this time of year, Amir Pasha represented a bet at 7/1 or bigger this morning.
Wednesday 19 October 2011
October and April are always the trickiest betting months of the year. You have a typical end of season feel about the one code, and you are guessing about the fitness for the other.
Therefore the key to betting at this time of year is patience. There will be opportunities, there are just fewer than at other times of the year.
As a result no bet is the call again today.
Therefore the key to betting at this time of year is patience. There will be opportunities, there are just fewer than at other times of the year.
As a result no bet is the call again today.
Tuesday 18 October 2011
We will be at Tattersalls HIT sale next week. If your looking for a new recruit get in touch.
Horses purchased by our team have a winning average of nearly 25 % over the last 4 years.
http://theinsidetrack.info/bloodstock.html
Horses purchased by our team have a winning average of nearly 25 % over the last 4 years.
http://theinsidetrack.info/bloodstock.html
Monday 17 October 2011
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