Wednesday 30 November 2011

2 bets today.

2.40 Uttoxeter Trafalgar 2pt 9/2 General

An initial handicap rating of 111 looks to underestimate Trafalgar.  He has shaped well in his 2 novice hurdle runs so far, and with Willie Twiston Davies taking off another 7 lbs he could win this easily today.  The opposition don't look great and 9/2 looks too big.

2.50 Hereford Hellfire Club 2pt 9/2 General

Was well backed on his return to action at Lingfield on his first run for over a year last time.  This implied that he was not only regarded to be in decent nick, but also well handicapped off a mark of 110.  As it happened he didn't jump well enough to prove whether that assessment of him was correct, but if he jumps better today he may prove that to be the case today.  The Hereford fences are some of the softest in the country, and today's race won't take much winning.  I'm not convinced that the drop in trip will suit Bradford Boris,  and Wester Ross won a weak race last time, and has it all to do under 12 stone 3.

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