Thursday 31st May
Ayr
4.55 Judicious 2pt win 5/1
generally
Another horse that we were on last time, but ran slightly
disappointingly when ridden closer to the pace than usual, on ground that had
probably gone too soft for him. His
owners can’t be the most patient bunch, as he’s now with his third trainer of
the year having just his third start.
Again my view of him hasn’t changed, I still think there is
a better performance in him than he’s shown so far, and this looks a pretty
weak race. The firmer ground will suit,
and as long as he’s ridden with a bit of restraint and they go a reasonably
gallop, he should take plenty of beating. 5/1 looks fair; I had put him in as a 7/2
shot.
2nd
Brighton
4.45 Monashee Rock 2pt win 11/2
Bet 365 and Hills 5/1 generally
Won over course and distance last year from a 3lb higher
mark. Shaped well at Lingfield last time
when looking as though he was coming to hand over an inadequate trip and now
stepped back up to 8 furlongs will take plenty of beating.
I expect him to be spot on today and well backed. Patrick Chamings does well with his
handicappers, and he is more than capable of landing a touch with his seasoned
campaigners, I expect today to be the day for Monashee.
un
Newcastle
7.10 – Polish World 1pt win 14/1
Hills, 12/1 generally
A really competitive race with any number of potential
winners, led by Anderiego, who we were on first time out, when he probably
needed the run. He shaped well again
last time when given a poor ride by Spencer, but does look short enough today,
and although I expect him to go well, I think it’s worth chancing Polish World
at a big price, as he’s handicapped to go close, and shaped better than his
finishing position last time.
He has quickly got back down to his last winning mark, and
with conditions ideal today, I’m surprised that Hills have put him up at
14/1. He went off too hard at Beverley
last time, but did travel as though he’s in decent heart. With Vito Volterra in the line-up, it’s
possible that they could set it up for something coming off the pace, but
without repeating myself, I’m always happy to take a chance with well
handicapped horses, under optimum conditions at double figure prices.
1st - sp 20/1, bfsp 29
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