Tuesday 24 January 2012


Tuesday 24th January
 
2.30 Kempton
 
Super Duplex 2pt win 7/1 hills and bet365
 
Super Duplex's trainer, Pat Phelan, has gained a bit of a reputation as a
trainer whose horses only win when the money is down.  This left me with a
decision to make.  Leave putting the bet up until I could
gauge how strongly he is fancied this morning.  Or put the bet up now 
so we can take the best prices.  The problem with waiting until later,
is that the price could well collapse pretty quickly, so I've decided to
post now.
 
Super Duplex caught my eye back in November, when staying on under very
tender handling over 8 furlongs at Kempton.  He went into my note book as
one to keep an eye on when stepped back up to 10 furlongs.  Connections
then made the rather strange decision to drop him back to 6 furlongs, where
he was understandably outpaced throughout. 
 
He now steps up to 10 furlongs, which I believe is his optimum trip.  He
runs in the lowest grade of race of his career, and runs off a handicap
mark 2lb lower than he scored off at Epsom in the summer of 2010.  I
believe he retains all of his ability, and if as I expect, the handbrake is
off, then he has a leading chance. 

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