Saturday 25 February 2012


Saturday 25th February
I wanted to put Oasis Dancer up at anything bigger than 2/1 for the 2.50 at Lingfield, as he blew me away with the way he won a competitive handicap at Lingfield last time, and I think he could well be one of the best all weather sprinters of recent years.  When I saw Victor Chandler price him up at 3/1 yesterday afternoon, I was frantically trying to get the message out, but his price fell quicker than a Novice Chaser at Cheltenham, and he is now currently best priced at 15/8.  Being a service that will only put bets up at value prices, I’m afraid the price is just too short, although I do think he holds an outstanding chance.

2.15 Lingfield – Sulis Minerva 2pt win 5/1

The evidence of my eyes, the last couple of times that I’ve seen Sulis Minerva run, is that she is currently much better than her current handicap mark of 80.  When she won one of the qualifiers for today’s final, she travelled like a horse that was far superior than the winning distance suggested.  She followed that up with a cracking effort, over 5 furlongs last time, and now reunited with Raul Da Silva, who is excellent value for his 5lb claim, will take the world of beating, providing stall 12 isn’t too much of a hindrance. 

If she had been drawn in one of the lowest 6 stalls, then she would have been nailed on, but at 5/1 the poor draw is more than factored into her price.  Expect her to be out the back early, but I can see her swinging wide into the straight, and hopefully Raul will get the breaks and deliver her on the line.

3.55 Lingfield – Reposer 2pt win 6/1

Noel Quinlan purchased Reposer, for 12,000 GNS at The Tattersalls horses in training sale last October.  At the time the horse was rated 83, and looked open to improvement.  Since he’s been with the Quinlan stable, I think it is fair to say that he hasn’t been able to show his true colours, and as a result he is now racing off a handicap mark of 70.

I expect this horse to be given a different ride to what we have seen of late.  I’m sure he will break well, make the running and will be far too well handicapped to be beaten.  This looks a competitive little race on paper, but when the Quinlan money is down, they are not a stable that leave it behind very often.

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