With Newbury off, it means another Saturday of all weather
only punting for us.
Lingfield
1.40 Sir Geoffrey 2pt
win 10/1 Paddy Power, 9/1 generally
Now down in grade with a decent claimer booked, who has done
well for the stable this year, Sir Geoffrey should perform better than his odds
would imply.
With the 2 horses drawn below him likely to be dropped in, I
can see Sir Geoffrey bagging the rail, and as long as Ryan Powell doesn’t go
too hard too early, could well make his class tell.
The last time he competed over 5 furlongs at Lingfield, he
finished 2nd off a mark of 85, he’s now down to his last winning
mark of 80.
Sulis Minerva is a worthy favourite having won his last 2,
but I don’t think the drop back to 5 furlongs will suit, and the second
favourite, Taajub, is a quirky customer who hasn’t won for 2 and a half years.
2.45 Norville 1pt
each way 12/1 Victor, 10/1 Generally
What struck me about this race is that it is stacked full of
hold up horses, which are normally reliant on the leaders going off too
hard. I can see Mottley Crewe making the
running, and Norville tracking the pace from stall 1.
Norville is handicapped to win again, having fallen to a
mark of 90, with his last victory being off 94 at Windsor last summer.
Now returned to his favourite course, from the perfect stall
I can’t see him finishing out of the first 3, and represents a rare each way
bet for me.
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