Tuesday 14 August 2012


Tuesday 14th August
Ayr
3.20 Wannabe king 1pt win 16/1.
This is one of those bets that is just as likely to bomb, as it is to run well, but at 16/1 that’s certainly built into the price.
Wannabe king shaped with promise on his first 2 runs of the season, but was below par when returning from a 3 month break last time.  There are valid excuses for that effort though.  He raced without his usual headgear and was ridden in a manner which wasn’t going to see him to best effect.
Now refitted with the visor, and assuming he is ridden with more restraint than last time, he could well pop up today at a big price.  On his best form, he would be the best handicapped in the race, conditions look spot on and he is ridden by 7lb claimer, Jordan Nason, who has won on 3 of his 13 rides so far this season, and won on his only ride at Ayr.
Geoff Harker is a wily trainer, and it wouldn’t surprise me, if he has plotted the horse up for today.  If that’s the case then I would expect to see plenty of late money for him.

1st
3.50 Penang Pegasus 2pt win 7/2
A very weak race, where a reproduction of Penang Pegasus’s effort at Redcar back in May, should be good enough to take this.  He’s been unsuited by the drop back to 8 furlongs the last twice, but showed a decent attitude when staying on well at Thirsk last time. 
After 6 career starts he has plenty of scope to improve, and I’m surprised to see him as big as 7/2 this morning.  I would expect him to start closer to 2/1.

1st

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