Monday 24 September 2012


Friday 14th September
Doncaster
1.50 – Caravan Rolls On 1pt 6/1.
Caravan Rolls On has done nothing but progress in his light career so far, and he looks likely to go on again, now stepped up to a trip that looks sure to suit.
He hasn’t been the easiest horse to keep sound, but Peter Chapple-Hyam, nominated this race as his next port of call after his victory at Newmarket last time, so presumably he has come out of that race fine, and hasn’t missed any work since.
This looks a very competitive race, but Caravan Rolls On looks as though he is potentially the biggest improver in the field, and represents fair value this morning at 6/1.
4.05 – Galician 1pt 12/1.
Duke of Firenze is by far the most likely winner of this race, being a well-bred, progressive sort, that will almost certainly make up into a group sprinter next year, but he hardly represents value, at 2/1, in the most competitive race that he has ever raced in.
Galician on the other hand looks over priced.  He didn’t appear to handle the turns of Chester last time, but now back on a straight galloping course, he could well progress again.
He was a most unlucky loser 3 runs back, when given far too much to do by Chantal Sutherland at Ascot.  He backed that up when running ok at Newmarket, when the uneven pace didn’t suit him, but even so finished just behind Amadeus Wolfe Tone, who won a hot handicap at Doncaster yesterday.
Today’s race is sure to be strongly run, and he should run better than this morning’s price would imply.

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