Saturday 22nd September
Newmarket
& Crown Choice 0.5pt win 20/1
When The Tichborne finished 3rd, in a highly competitive Royal Ascot handicap, last year as a 3 year old, it looked as though he was a horse firmly on the up. Since then he has declined rapidly, and his trainer has been constantly saying, that for some reason that day scarred him mentally, and his confidence has been shot since.That all changed at Lingfield last time though, when he seemed suited to the drop back to 6 furlongs, and had a much needed confidence boosting win. He really did seem to be a horse back on track and was pulling right away in the final furlong. If that race is the catalyst for him to get his career back on track, then he still has loads of scope from a handicapping point of view. He races off 73 today, and was 90 at his peak.
I can’t resist having a small wager on Crown Choice as well. I’ve followed this horse all year, as I expected him to improve on joining the Paul Midgley stable, having joined them from Walter Swinburn. In all honesty he has shown very little this season, and his profile would suggest that he has not been easy to keep sound. Today he turns up on the back of another short break, having shaped slightly better over an inadequate trip at Goodwood last time. Today he has ideal conditions, and a career low mark.
Paul Midgley doesn’t send many horses down to Newmarket – only 7 in the last 5 seasons, which could be quite significant, as Crown Choice produced his best ever performance at the course when beaten just over 2 lengths off a mark of 97 last season. He races off just 80 today. At a massive price he’s worth a small wager.
Catterick
5.25 – Drive Home 2pt win 5/1
Drive home was very unlucky when getting no luck in running at Musselburgh on Monday. We had put him up at 8/1 in the morning, and he was backed as if defeat was out the question, when going off at 5/2. Given better luck in running he could well recoup those loses today.He’s off the same mark today, and conditions are again spot on. This race does look more competitive than Monday’s, but he still represents value at 5/1.
1st
Ayr
5.15 – Capail Laith 1pt win 13/2
We put Capail Laith up as a bet last weekend at Chester, only for him to be declared a non runner. The same comments apply today about him. He’s well handicapped, and has been shaping better than his recent form figures would suggest. Today’s going will be no problem to him, having won on heavy at Newcastle earlier in the year.
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