Wednesday 11th April
A trappy looking contest, but there are plenty of positives about Madam Macie, and she looks decent value at 8/1.
She strikes me as a quirky individual that is probably always best fresh. This would be supported by the fact that she has won first time out in 2 of the last 3 seasons. She has won over course and distance, and the only previous time that Graham Gibbons was in the saddle she won.
She was well backed on her last run of last season, over course and distance off a mark off 77. She races today off 75, and she has won off 79 in the past, so she is certainly well enough handicapped to win. The wide draw is a negative, but if she breaks smartly, then she could take plenty of catching.
5.10 Nottingham Chiswick Bay 1pt win 10/1
A highly competitive handicap, with any number of potential winners. Chiswick Bey is worth chancing at 10/1 though as he’s open to plenty of improvement tackling 8 furlongs for the first time, with underfoot conditions to suit, from a stable going well and a decent draw.
He only had the 2 races last year, but is reported to be working well, and is plenty fit enough for his first run of the season.
5.30 Kempton Addikt 1pt win 3/1
We put Addikt up a couple of weeks ago as a decent bet at 7/1, before he was pulled out when the price collapsed, before connections had got their money on. The case for him going well today is the same. He’s handicapped to win, has his ideal conditions and has been freshened up by a break. He can’t be described as great value today at 3/1, hence him being just a 1pt bet.
No comments:
Post a Comment