The Inside Track

Saturday 3^rd March


3.55 Lingfield Nelsons Bounty 1pt win 10/1


Although this looks competitive, with the exception of Nelsons Bounty, I can’t see anything that could have more than 3 or 4 lb in hand from their current handicap mark.


The top five in the market all hold solid chances, but I think we know where we stand with all of them.
Nelsons Bounty won first time up last season, in a really competitive 18 runner Ascot handicap off a mark of 81.  He returns to action today off a mark of 82, and a reproduction of that Ascot performance would see him win this.


Paul D’Arcy won a similar race to todays over course and distance, with Night Lily 2 weeks ago, he has booked William Carson again today, and although stall 11 isn’t ideal, no one has been riding Lingfield better than Williams Carson this winter, and if the horse is fit enough then he has to go close.
The owners are big punters, so a significant drift on Betfair would be a worry, but at 10/1 this morning, I’m prepared to take a chance on that.