Tuesday 3 July 2012


Friday 15th June
Goodwood
7.25 – Great Expectations 2pt win 9/2 Hills, Fred and Tote, 4/1 generally

Great Expectations looked an unlucky loser at Newmarket last time.  He travelled well, but suffered interference at a crucial stage and would probably have won with a bit more luck.  He was heavily backed throughout the day, by his inform stable, and off just a 2lb higher mark, I expect connections to gain compensation today.

He had handled the downhill undulations at Leicester the time before, so I don’t see the course providing a problem, and any more rain won’t be an issue, as he’s already proved that he can handle heavy ground.
Moretta Blanche holds obvious claims, and is priced accordingly, but her form is no better than Great Expectations, and he’s open to more improvement than her, having had just 5 races in his career so far.
Corporal Maddox looked unlucky at Lingfield on Tuesday, but he has looked unlucky plenty of times in his career, only to disappoint next time, and the fact that he hasn’t won for getting on for 3 years is enough to put me off him.

Great Expectations is worth backing at 3/1 or bigger, with the general 4/1, and 9/2 with Hills, Fred and Tote, certainly worth taking.

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