Monday 23rd July
Southwell
2.10 – Dark Falcon 2pt 9/2
generally
Dark Falcon stopped quickly at Leicester last time, but the
fact that he has been off for 7 weeks since that run, would imply that he had a
minor problem that day. Assuming that
has been addressed, and he arrives in top form, then he should go very close
today.
He showed his liking for the Fibresand surface, when winning
at Southwell last December, he then shaped as if needing the run on his return
to action in May, but followed that up with an improved effort when finishing 4th
at Lingfield when he just lacked the pace on the quicker Polytrack surface.
Dark Falcon strikes me as the type of horse that could
develop into a Southwell specialist, as he is a grinder that can’t quicken, but
appears as the type that can maintain his tempo off a strong gallop.
Windsor
8.40 – Uncle Fred 2pt win 8/1
generally
I’m surprised to see Uncle Fred as big as 8/1 this morning,
as he looks extremely well handicapped and has his optimum conditions today.
Last summer he won a course and distance handicap off a mark
of 77, today he’s down to 74, and also down to a class 5 for the first time in
a long time. He’s well drawn in stall 1,
but will need a little luck, as he is a hold up horse that will be reliant on
the leaders going off hard, and will need the gaps to open at the right
time. With Ken’s Girl, Blue Deer, and
Calypso Magic in the line-up, there is every chance of that happening.
No comments:
Post a Comment