Monday 30 July 2012


Saturday 28th July
Newcastle
3.05 – Dubawi Sound 2pt 5/1 generally
Dubawi Sound is a horse that still has stacks of potential, and it is certainly too soon to be writing him off after a couple of below par efforts.
His first race of the season was back in April, when he was well fancied for The Spring Mile at Newbury.  This was the first time that he had encountered soft ground, which clearly didn’t suit, and the way he stopped that day suggested that he may have had a breathing problem as well.  Since then he has been moved from Roger Varian to David Brown, and he is now fitted for a tongue tie for the first time.
Although a competitive race, I feel that Dubawi Sound could well be a cut above today’s opposition, and I expect him to take this before going onto better things.

1st
Ascot
3.55 – Greylami 2pt win 10/1
Greylami always takes a couple of runs to reach his peak, so the fact that he has shown very little so far this year isn’t a major concern.
Today he races in a much weaker race than he usually contests, and he has his optimum conditions on turf, for the first time in a long time.  He won a course and distance handicap off a mark of 90 in 2010, and turns up today off a mark of 82.  If Robert Mills has him in top form, he should win.  At a double figure price this morning, he represents excellent value.

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