Tuesday 3 July 2012


Wednesday 20th June
Ascot
4.25 – Trade Storm 1pt 25/1 Bet 365, Sky, Hills, Ladbrokes
Trade Storm travelled into the race like an improved horse, on his first run of the season at York last time.  Nothing was travelling better than him at the furlong pole, before a combination of lack of fitness and the testing conditions took their toll.  The handicapper has dropped him 2lbs on the back of that performance which from a handicapping perspective gives him a real chance today.
Last year he ran in The Brittania Stakes over course at distance, and again he looked a danger to all at the furlong pole, before tiring in the soft ground in the final 100 yards.  Based on that performance, and back on quicker ground today, he has the beating of Cai Shen and Belgian Bill, yet he is nearly double the price of both of them.
This is as competitive a race as there will be all week, hence him being just a 1pt selection.  But given a bit of luck he should certainly run better than his odds imply.  As a 4 year old he’s certainly open to improvement, and he’s totally unexposed over 8 furlongs on decent grounds.
Kempton
7.40 – Triple Charm 2pt win 4/1 generally
Triple Charm looked like a horse to follow, on her first run of the year at Lingfield in February.  She’s had excuses for her 2 runs since, but now back on Polytrack over 7 furlongs she should regain the winning thread today.
She is bred to be, and physically looks much better than an 84 rated performer.  I think she potentially has around 10lbs in hand form her current mark.  From a decent draw and with Ryan Moore in the saddle, I had made her a 5/2 shot, and was prepared to back her at 3/1, the 4/1 this morning is certainly worth taking.

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