Sunday 8th July
Ayr
2.30 – Master of Dance 2pt win
15/2 generally
Master of Dance hasn’t been on his game for his last 4 runs,
but as a result he is now handicapped to win, and finds himself in the weakest
race that he has contested for a long time.
I’ve always thought that he is a horse that is best suited
by being held up in a strongly run race.
His last 4 runs have seen him race close to the pace. Personally I think this has been by design,
as connections have been trying to work his mark down. They have succeeded in doing this, and he has
dropped from 70 to 65, which is 2lbs below his last winning mark.
That last victory was over 8 furlongs, when he was held up
off a strong pace. Although his last 4
victories have been over 8 furlongs, I don’t see a strongly run 7 on soft
ground posing a problem. 4 or 5 horses
in today’s race have front run in the past, so a strong pace does seem likely.
Master of Dance is also reunited with Joe Fanning for the
first time since February. Most of the
owner’s horses tend to win when well backed and ridden by Joe Fanning. So market support would be significant today.
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